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Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Adobe's annual performance guidance was worse than expected, and its share price fell more than 5% after hours. Adobe's adjusted EPS in the fourth quarter was $4.81, and analysts expected $4.67. Revenue in the fourth quarter was $5.61 billion, and analysts expected $5.54 billion. It is estimated that the adjusted EPS in FY 2025 will be $20.20-$20.50, and analysts expect $20.52. The adjusted EPS in the first fiscal quarter is expected to be $4.95-$5.00, and analysts expect $4.95. Adobe's U.S. stocks fell 1.81% after hours-the decline then expanded to 5.40%, and rose 0.38% before the performance report was released.Trump's NASA candidate called his future SpaceX mission a "question mark". On Wednesday, Jared Isaacman, a billionaire in science and technology, who was selected by President-elect Trump, said that his planned private astronaut mission with Musk's SpaceX company "may be put on hold" because he was ready to enter the government to lead NASA.

It's a mystery to say "no" to the influx of large amounts of funds, and the public offering products are setting off a wave of "restricted purchases". Whether it is an active equity fund, a debt-based fund or QDII fund, many outstanding products have recently announced the suspension of large-scale subscription, and even some funds have chosen to directly adjust the subscription threshold to 0 yuan and suspend all subscription operations. Some insiders said that there is another mystery for fund companies to suspend large-scale subscriptions. As the end of the year approaches, the market gradually enters the stage of differentiation. At this time, the purchase restriction is likely to come from the consideration that the fund manager hopes that the capital side will be more stable. (CSI)National Bank of Canada: cut the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 5.45%.NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.74%, NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.74%, most popular Chinese stocks fell, Tencent Music fell more than 5%, JD.COM fell more than 3%, Xpeng Motors fell more than 2%, and Bali, Weilai and Pinduoduo fell more than 1%. In terms of gains, Tiger Securities rose more than 3%, while Youdao and Gaotu rose more than 1%.

Foreign media: Romania and Bulgaria have officially joined the Schengen area since 2025. According to Agence France-Presse, on the 12th local time, the European Commission approved that Bulgaria and Romania will officially become members of the Schengen area from January 1st, 2025. According to reports, Hungarian Interior Minister Pinter Shan Duoer said, "Welcome Bulgaria and Romania to join the Schengen area ... This is a historic moment." According to reports, Romania and Bulgaria became EU members in 2007. In March 2024, the two countries partially joined the Schengen area, and only the air and maritime border controls were cancelled. In November, the EU completed the final step of approving the two countries to join the Schengen area. (Zhongxin. com)The yield of 20/30-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 5 basis points on the release date of US CPI inflation data. Investors also paid attention to oil prices and Yellen's new debt supply. At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11), the yield of US 10-year benchmark government bonds rose by 3.89 basis points to 4.2652%. After the release of US CPI inflation data at 21:30 Beijing time, it plunged significantly and refreshed at 22:41 (the beginning of US stock market). Then it rebounded, and the results released at 02:00 showed that the auction of 10-year US bonds was strong, the bid multiple reached a new high since 2016, and the yield reached 4.2750% at 03:00. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 1.02 basis points to 4.1532%, and reached 4.1741% at 21:17 (less than a quarter of an hour before the release of the US CPI data). After the data was released, it plunged, and reached 4.0969% at 22:41, and then gradually rebounded.The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)